BANK OF AMERICA CORP /DE/ (BAC) Q3 2025 Earnings Summary
Executive Summary
- BAC delivered a strong quarter: EPS of $1.06 and net income of $8.5B, with revenue up 11% YoY to $28.1B and record net interest income; operating leverage improved and the efficiency ratio fell to 61.7% .
- EPS beat Wall Street consensus by ~$0.11 ($1.06 vs. $0.95*) and revenue exceeded consensus by ~$0.6B ($28.1B vs. $27.46B*); strength came from NII growth, investment banking fees, and sales & trading (14th consecutive YoY growth) .
- Management guided Q4 NII to the high end of its range (“$15.6B+” FTE), expects Q4 expenses to be flattish vs. Q3, and signaled deposit rate paid should decline with cuts flowing through wealth/global banking pricing .
- Capital and credit remained solid: CET1 11.6% (Standardized) and net charge-offs fell sequentially; common dividend raised to $0.28 for Q4 2025 .
Values with * are from S&P Global.
What Went Well and What Went Wrong
What Went Well
- Record NII and strong operating leverage: NII rose to $15.2B (GAAP) / $15.4B (FTE), driving 11% YoY revenue growth and an efficiency ratio of 61.7% .
- Market-facing businesses performed: investment banking fees topped $2.0B (+43% YoY) and sales & trading revenue grew again YoY (FICC +5%, Equities +14% excl. DVA) .
- Clear forward guideposts from management: “We believe fourth quarter NII will be at the higher end of the range ($15.6B+ FTE)” and “expenses flattish in Q4,” reinforcing momentum into year-end .
What Went Wrong
- Expense growth continued: noninterest expense rose 5% YoY to $17.3B, reflecting revenue-related incentives and investments in people/technology (though operating leverage offset) .
- Global Banking NII remains pressured: management noted lower NII in banking offset by fee strength; deposit rate paid dynamics require disciplined pass-through in rate-cut environment .
- Commercial real estate remains a headwind: while improving, CRE still contributed to losses earlier in the year; management addressed ongoing resolution of office exposures and careful credit posture .
Financial Results
Consolidated Performance vs. Prior Year and Prior Quarter
Segment Revenue and Net Income
Key Performance Indicators
Guidance Changes
Earnings Call Themes & Trends
Management Commentary
- “We reported revenue of $28 billion up 11% year over year. EPS was $1.06 up 31% year over year… Net interest income on an FTE basis reached a record $15.4 billion… Investment banking fees exceeded $2.0 billion up 43% year over year” — CEO Brian Moynihan .
- “Provision expense improved… with net charge-offs declining 10% and we had a modest reserve release… Average diluted share count declined… disciplined expense growth versus revenue” — CFO Alastair Borthwick .
- “We believe fourth quarter NII will be in the higher end of that range ($15.6B+ FTE)… expenses to remain roughly in line with Q3” — CFO Alastair Borthwick .
Q&A Highlights
- AI efficiency and margin impact: management emphasized applied AI at scale (Erica interactions, coding productivity), enabling more revenue with a stable expense base; broader update planned at Investor Day .
- Deposit betas: pass-through of rate cuts expected in wealth/global banking; consumer rate paid dynamics remain disciplined; September cut effects to be visible in Q4 .
- Capital management: target ~50bps buffer over minimum CET1; continue to “grow into capital” and support buybacks; rule finalization will inform exact buffer .
- Markets and IB pipeline: constructive environment persists; pipelines up double-digit; usual Q4 seasonality acknowledged, but off to a “good start” .
- Credit tone: portfolios performing well; consumer delinquencies stable-to-improving; CRE exposures being resolved; NCOs expected broadly stable near term .
Estimates Context
Values with * are from S&P Global.
Key Takeaways for Investors
- Earnings power is accelerating: record NII and firm-wide fee strength drove EPS and efficiency gains; momentum likely carries into Q4 with NII guided to the high end .
- Market-facing breadth is a differentiator: IB fees and S&T delivered another strong quarter; diversification across FICC and Equities continues to underpin resilience .
- Expense discipline remains credible: despite investment-related growth in comp/tech, operating leverage improved materially; Q4 expenses guided flattish .
- Capital return remains robust within a prudent buffer: CET1 at 11.6% (Std.), ongoing buybacks, dividend raised to $0.28; management targets ~50bps buffer over minimum .
- Credit normalization manageable: consumer card NCOs improved to 3.46%; CRE resolution ongoing; reserve position and criticized metrics trending better .
- Deposit pricing lever under cuts: pass-through discipline in wealth/GB should lower rate paid, supporting NII trajectory in a declining rate environment .
- Near-term setup: usual Q4 markets seasonality acknowledged, but pipelines strong and deposit/NII tailwinds intact; watch Investor Day for AI efficiency roadmap and 2026 trajectory .
Disclaimer: Estimates marked with * are retrieved from S&P Global.